Ron Uchmanís Hawthorne analysis for Saturday, November 27th
Can 6-ARCH FLYER wire the field? There is other speed in here but most of his rivals seem to want to come from out of it. Cold weather and thin surface often equals a speed-favoring track. This recent claim could take advantage of it. 3-COWGIRL KIMMIE is pretty obvious. Her recent races havenít been all that sharp but she has been taking on better company. Sheís going to be far tougher to hold off with the drop to this level. 2-LADY MAGNA displayed good speed at AP in a couple races but her typical modus operandi is to come from off the pace. She just missed in last utilizing that strong late run. Wonder which tactic her rider will try today.
8-UNBURNT drops. She was narrowly beaten by better in her first race for this barn, a contest that was switched from turf to dirt, but she made no impact on turf in her last start. That should, however, chance with the drop back to the right level. 7-MAGIC SOLUTION is another that just missed two race starts back. Similarly to top choice, that race was versus better and was originally scheduled for turf but moved to the main track. She might not be as fast from the gate as top choice but she should never be too far back. 5-NEXT TIME YOU WIN deserves another look. She finished second in her last three. Those races took place at easier racetracks but this filly also raced competitively at AP and Indiana Grand earlier this year.
1-TEMPER TANTRUM has been in good form since July. He won four in a row for his previous connections and finished a good third versus state-bred stakes runners in last, his first start after getting claimed by this barn. Good tactical speed will have him racing prominently from the start. Might be able to run by late. 2-SNIPER KITTEN is another in great form. He won three of his last four and finished third in his lone loss during that streak. He hasnít raced in three months but has been working forwardly for his return. He will be tough. 4-NILES CHANNEL ran well in both of his turf starts. He won one of them and finished second, only a head back, in the other. Not sure heíll be a match for the top pair but he could easily be the best of the rest.
6-HEROíS DAUGHTER finished pretty far back in all her races but this does look like the easiest field she has yet to face. She split a turf route, racing against the boys, in her last start. The turn back in distance, the move back to dirt, but especially the return to facing her own gender should all help greatly. 3-BELLS OF JOY finished a distant third in last, her first start on dirt. She races at a higher level today but this field doesnít look any tougher. 1-MUD HUT has had some decent drills and she races for a barn that knows how to get first timers ready.
5-CHOPPER is the best speed. Heís been tiring late in his races but he might get such an easy lead in this race that he can just coast along on the front end. 1-HATCHET CREEK doesnít seem as quick as top choice but heís never going to be far back. He also has the advantage of an apprentice as his pilot and so gets a 10-pound weight break. The cut back in distance works in his favor. Might be capable of surprising. 4-FINAL CALL drops. He was in too tough in last but finished second in a field slightly easier than this in his prior start. At this level, he should be coming on late.
3-PISTOL BOX might be able to surprise. He finished well behind many of these in last but virtually every one of his rivals in this race want the front end and heís going to be at the back of the pack all alone. But, once they turn for home, heís going to come flying. 5-P H FACTOR goes for his third in a row and his ninth from 14 races this year alone. Heís one of those that loves the front end. Has a good chance to put away the rest of the speed, again, and finish with something left. 1-CHRISTIAN C finished second to P H Factor in last. In fact, he was second all the way around. That rival seems likely to face more early spessure this time and this runner might be best equipped to take advantage of that rival faklters.
1-LEEíS LUCK jumps in class but heís the speediest member of this field and he might just grab the early lead and never look back. 5-MAXI MOON-meets Illinois breds for only the second time. He finished second in his last start. Like many, he could improve after getting a trip over the track. Might be able to run them all down. 2-DEORA STORE just graduated. He had some good races prior to that but just couldnít get it done. Maybe this late runner will improve even more now that he knows how to win.
2-DRAW THE LINE has been in a bit too tough since he earned his second win but the drop to this claiming price should allow him to have dead aim late. His recent races werenít bad but he just wasnít good enough. The drop to this level will take care of that. 8-CAUSEIMCHOCOLATE wired the field in last as the odds-on favorite. Heís meeting a bit tougher here but he looks like the only real speed once again. May never look back. 4-DRAMATIC KITTEN isnít in good form and heís never had much luck on the main track but this is probably the easiest field he has ever met. Improvement is expected.
SIMULCASTING FOR: SATURDAY, NOVEMBER 27, 2021
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Post Time: 1:00 pm
1st 9 Midnight Trip 2 Temple Quest 10 Star Prado
2nd 1 The Green MoíSter 4 Indy Tourist 6 Alfons Walde
3rd 5 Southern Liaison 3 Sheís Gone DíWild 4 Sienna Breeze
4th 4 Holiday House 9 More Than Work 2 Beau Noir
5th 7 Buckley Bunny 2 Sunshine Star 1 Strong Chick
6th 1 Pixelate 7 Big Agenda 3 Logical Myth
7th 6 Speedometer 5 Elle Of The Ball 4 Com On Sweet Luv
8th 11 Takafumi 1 Blue Lou Boyle 5 El Socio
9th 1 Big Brass Monkey 3 Schnell 8 Behemah Star
10th 2 Tensas Virginia 3 Isnít It Time 7 A Gís Charlotte
Post Time: 5:20 pm
1st P 1 Shamma Lamma 2 Heza Real Diamond 3 Rifleman
2nd T 7 Lightfootedlegend 6 Swan In Motion 5 Deltasun A
3rd P 6 Marvalous One 7 Fourboltmane 8 Sneak On Bye
4th P 9 Ideal Big Guy 4 Aberdeen Hanover 2 Four Star Flash
5th P 5 Cool Blues Man 9 Rockeyed Optimist 4 Major Decision
6th P 4 Dealerís Table 5 Rockin The Aces 2 Semi Tough
7th T 6 No Drama Please 5 Innisfallen 10 Marion Gondolier
8th P 6 Saying Grace N 4 Enough Sun 2 Bullville Terror
9th P 8 Save Me A Dance 3 Sugartown 1 Lifeonthebeach A
10th P 7 Vittel N 6 Mayhem Hanover 3 Bee Two Bee
11th P 1 Darkshadeofpale N 5 Pansyís Image 6 Windsong Parisian
12th P 7 Luck N Roll K 1 Archangel Three 5 Mindtrip
13th P 7 Bay Brute 4 Me Dís Dragon 8 Rise Up Now
Post Time: 6:00 pm
1st P 7 Hippyjohn 8 Dr Joe 2 Royal Tang
2nd P 2 Wheels On Fire 4 Speedy Dominic 3 Beyond Better
3rd T 8 Amazon Duharas 9 World Bank 10 Home The Tone
4th P 3 Rockme Rollme 4 HP Napoleon 6 Traceur Hanover
5th P 7 Awesome Hill 8 Bet On Becky 3 Best Keepsake
6th P 7 Blonde Onthe Beach 6 Millies Million 5 Adashious Hanover
7th P 2 Bettorbeflyin 9 Thatll Be Sporty 7 The Shining
8th P 2 Chantee 3 Commanding Officer 1 Forefather
9th P 4 Undrthsouthrnsun N 2 Stonebridge Rex 6 Cold Creek Cabo
10th P 6 Realization 4 Snow Shark 2 Parisian Blue Chip
11th P 7 Hes Swift 1 Hervey Hanover 2 Lets Get Pickled