Ron Uchmanís Hawthorne analysis for Friday, January 11th
Donít like the way that 4-FOO FOO GIRL has been passed late in her last two races at five and a half furlongs, especially since this race is six furlongs, but she is the only one in this race in remotely good form. They might catch her but, then again, the might not. 5-ANGELS N BOOTS didnít show a thing in her lone race but that race took place in Florida on the lawn. Sheís undoubtedly meeting easier here. Expect improvement. 1-VICTORY ROSE drops from maiden specials. Her races were against Illinois breds but her speed figures suggest that sheís among the fastest of these.
5-EMPIRESTRIKESAGAIN meets probably his easiest field ever. He hasnít been in the best of form this year, managing only one second-place finish in seven starts, but he figures to improve at this level. 2-LEEíS LUCK tired fighting for the lead when turned back to a sprint for last but he should have an easier time getting to the front end with the stretch out. Thereís a chance that heíll tire in any case but he could last longer and might surprise on the front end. 1-SGT. GREEN is usually in the hunt. He finished third in his last two races and he finished in the money in 10 of 12 races in 2018. Figures to be a major player.
9-MISS DEVINE should get an ideal pace ahead of her. Sheís one of the few in this field that comes from out of it and, prior to last, she had been in good form. She might not have a great chance on a speed-favoring track but there should be pace aplenty in this race. Could roll by late. 2-MISS GALILEE made every pole a winning one on her way to an 11-length romp to break her maiden. She also displayed good speed in most of her other races., But, there is plenty of other speed in this field. She could have a harder time putting them away. 8-MOUNTAIN MOMMA might close a bit but sheís been going right for the lead lately. However, she would seem to have a better chance if taken off the pace.
9-MY CURBY has been in good form for months. H finished in the money in seven of his last nine races, including his last four. Might be able to edge by late. 1-YOUNG CORBETT has been competitive since dropping to this level. He finished second last time out. Could get by them all in this one. 5 G GíS SECONDCHANCE surprised in his last start. Itís been a month since that last race, and he hasnít worked in the interim, but he hadnít raced in about six weeks prior to that last win. Donít ignore.
4-FORGOT TO FORGET streaked to the early lead in his last start and never looked back. He generally displays good early speed to getting to the lead in that race wasnít a surprise. It was a surprise that he was never challenged. On paper, this race sets up the same way. If they leave him alone again early, thereís a good chance that heíll repeat. 5-MAXUSí last race showed promise. He spent most of his career on turf or Polytrack but thought his last start, on dirt was interesting. Though he only finished a distant third, he made up about 11 lengths. That was his first start in nearly two months. Could improve off that effort. 2-HELLOFAGUY drops and stretches out. He finished third in last, his best race here by far. But, he was sprinting while still meeting better. Could surprise at this level and distance.
3-KONZA CHROME cuts back in distance. She finished second in her last two, most recently as the favorite, but did seem to lose a bit of ground late in those six-furlong races. The shorter distance could work in her favor. 12-HALíS MISCHIEF finished a close-up third to better in her last start. She showed little t this level in her previous start but that race was contested on an off track. The drop back to this level makes her a top contender despite drawing the 12 post position. 6-COUNTESS ST MICHEL looks like the best of the speed. She won her last after narrowly losing her previous start. Sheís taking on better here but the shorter distance works in her favor.
7-ENCHANTED RAMBAM drops back to the right level. He showed little versus better in last but think it was more because of all the trouble he got into than being overmatched. He loves this track. Should get back to winning ways. 9-GREENHORN moves up in class but heís in great form. He won his last two races, utilizing good early speed. He might be able to do the same thing again. 3-OFFLEE FUN will come running late. Heís another that had some trouble versus better in last but he had been in terrific form prior. Can bounce back.
7-WAKE UP JOE drops. He was outgunned in last while facing good allowance company but heís been razor sharp in these starter races. Heíll never be far off the pace. Might be able to put away the rest of the speed and finish with something left. 4-SUMMER DISCO goes for his third win in a row. Heís taking on better today but the pace of this race should set up perfectly for his late run. 6-HAWKíS IMAGE can pass them all. Heís another closer in a race filled with speed. His speed figures suggest that he could be a bit slower than others in here but if those others are caught up in a speed duel, he might be able to pick them off with ease.
4-ORIENTAL LADY drops back to the right level. She beat only one in last but she was in far too tough. She had been competitive prior when taking on rivals like these. Should wake back up. 3-HARANSTOWN didnít fire in last but sheís another that could be in the right spot to awaken. Sheís going to be coming late. Could surprise. 8-RAIN EXPRESSION finished second in her last two races. Only slight improvement could get her home in front.