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Hawthorne Race Course

Handicapping Analysis
Sat April 20th, 2024

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Jim's Picks

Hawthorne Race 1

Post Time 2:50 PM CST
Analysis by Jim Miller
3 Coalminer's Kitten - 8-5 6 Country Guy - 6-1 2 On K P - 9-2

Sprinters in the opener as 3-COALMINER'S KITTEN could be a short favorite but is the likely winner to open the day. He ran a solid race in his last, beaten by a good winner in Schmoozin, who came back to win his next out. He should be able to rate close in here as well as there isn't much pace in this race. 6-COUNTRY GUY has been well placed in races to open his career, winning half of his six lifetime starts. Trainer Eduardo Rodriguez is off to a great start on the meet and bug boy Navas has learned to ride this track very well. 2-ON K P has talent and picks up Loveberry in this spot. He has shown ability on turf or dirt and I wouldn't be surprised if he was hustled into contention early in here.

Hawthorne Race 2

Post Time 3:20 PM CST
Analysis by Jim Miller
7 Graceful Scarlett - 3-1 4 Tribest (ARG) - 5-2 3 Boyce's Bandita - 9-2

This race came up quite competitive for this level as I gave the nod to 7-GRACEFUL SCARLETT in here. She comes in from California, a move that this owner and trainer have been successful with in the past. She is working consistently toward her return and will get ample pace to chase. 4-TRIBEST (ARG) ran a good race in the slop in her last, running on late for place. She should get a similar stalking trip in here as the only concern is the 0 for 12 lifetime in the win column. 3-BOYCE'S BANDITA ran a solid race in the same spot as Tribest last out. She got away well and chased into the lane before giving way late. With Emigh out of town, Ulloa picks up the mount.

Hawthorne Race 3

Post Time 3:50 PM CST
Analysis by Jim Miller
3 Anna After Midnite - 7-5 7 Good Magic Woman - 6-1 5 Mulsanne (IRE) - 9-2

Very little in regards to pace in this race as the likely favorite 3-ANNA AFTER MIDNIGHT looks to be the controlling speed in here. She stretches out today off a race where she was pushed on the front end. She has gradually improved with each start and Felix is riding quite well. 7-GOOD MAGIC WOMAN comes in from Florida for this spot as she may look to rate a bit closer early as well. She posted a good work over the track here last week and is another that is on the improve. 5-MULSANNE (IRE) could be a bit of a sleeper in here as bug boy Navas gets in the saddle today. Although winless in 19 starts, she has found the board eight times and a fast track return will be welcome in here.

Hawthorne Race 4

Post Time 4:20 PM CST
Analysis by Jim Miller
4 Devil - 7-5 8 I Did the Math - 6-1 7 Lions Law - 12-1

Another spot where the chalk will be tough as 4-DEVIL figures to be a heavy favorite. She chased Beehive in her last and battled to the wire. She looks to be the quickest to the front in here and runs for a barn that's off to a great start this meet. 8-I DID THE MATH ran a decent race in her last and could improve in her second start of the meet. Trainer Rednour chooses this spot over a race at Fairmount as the larger purse may have been the draw. All trainer Terry Young has done this meet is win as he sends out 7-LIONS LAW. She makes her second career start as she gets Lasix for the first time. She was hung wide the entire way in her debut in Indiana last year and has since worked consistently toward her return.

Hawthorne Race 5

Post Time 4:50 PM CST
Analysis by Jim Miller
4 First Love - 7-2 1 No Tappin Out - 2-1 2 Fast N Happy - 9-2

Competitive allowance bunch in the fifth with a pair of speedy ones from the barn of Tanner Tracy. It appears 4-FIRST LOVE could be the fastest to the front as she comes off a good maiden score in her last. She went very fast in that spot and never looked back. She has since posted a pair of good works over this strip and could be primed for another top performance. 1-NO TAPPIN OUT ran a good race from the outside draw in her last as she was able to find a good spot early and ran on late. She has some tactical speed and will benefit if the pace upfront is contested early. 2-FAST N HAPPY is another runner for the hot Young barn as she ran a huge race from the outside draw in her last. The added eighth should only help but she will be another that will need some pace to chase.

Hawthorne Race 6

Post Time 5:20 PM CST
Analysis by Jim Miller
1 Modazzle - 9-2 5 U S Honour Nap - 8-1 7 West Island - 7-5

Looking like there could be a contested pace in here which will likely help 1-MODAZZLE to rate and run into contention late. He ran evenly in his first start of the meet but has posted a win at this distance. Gallardo returns in the saddle as a ground saving trip should be beneficial in here. 5-U S HONOUR NAP is another that figures to rate and run on late. He turns back in distance off a route race in the slop a couple of weeks ago. Let's see if he improves at a price in his second out of the meet. 7-WEST ISLAND will be very tough as he figures to show speed and contend the entire way. He chased the pace in his last but may be looking to clear against these.

Hawthorne Race 8

Post Time 6:20 PM CST
Analysis by Jim Miller
7 Play Twenty - 7-2 4 Aunt Stella - 3-1 6 Summer At the Spa - 5-2

Not sure there's another others fast enough early to go with 7-PLAY TWENTY in this race. She has good early speed and comes off a solid effort while facing better in her last. Her best races are on the front end as she is a horse that the connections thought enough of to claim back last summer. 4-AUNT STELLA has been good at this distance and was a solid winner in her last. The two horses that finished behind her in that spot came back to win their next starts. Expect her to rate and run on late. 6-SUMMER AT THE SPA makes her second start off the claim as she has worked consistently toward her return. While sprinting, she figures to rate back early and run on late but let's see if she gets enough pace to chase.